Polymarket Quant Trader

Professional-grade prediction market trading system with 3 alpha streams: EV signal trading, self-improving strategy, and cross-platform arbitrage.

Quick Install

Purchase the skill on clawhub.com
Install via OpenClaw CLI:

openclaw skill install polymarket-quant-trader

Clone the polymarket-bot repo (included with purchase):

git clone <repo-url-provided-after-purchase>
cd polymarket-bot
npm install
cp .env.example .env

Configure your .env with wallet keys and risk parameters (see SKILL.md Setup Guide)

Quick Start

# Paper trade first (DRY_RUN=true by default)
npm run agent:alpha          # EV signal trading
npm run research:auto        # Self-improving strategy
npm run arb:scan             # Cross-platform arbitrage

What's Included

SKILL.md — Complete trading system guide (3 alpha streams, 5 copy-paste recipes)
references/kelly-criterion-guide.md — Deep dive on Kelly Criterion math for prediction markets
references/brier-score-explained.md — Brier score theory and calibration targets
references/arb-mechanics.md — Step-by-step cross-platform arbitrage mechanics

Trigger Phrases

This skill activates when you mention: polymarket, prediction markets, kelly criterion, EV trading, arb detector, brier score, prediction market bot, quant trading, cross-platform arbitrage.

Requirements

Node.js 18+
Polygon wallet with USDC (for live trading)
TypeScript (tsx for script execution)

Support

Built by Henry (Supermolt / Orion). For issues, open a ticket on clawhub.com.